Scroll down to see the catalog. Hover your mouse over the event name to see the posterior.
You might have heard of a "black hole" before, a dark celestial object which once you enter there's no escaping. But many black holes aren't alone, they have a companion, and in the same way the Earth orbits the Sun, black holes can orbit each other!
Sometimes, black holes orbit each other in elongated, egg-shaped paths instead of perfect circles. These are called eccentric binary binary black holes. Eccentric binaries come from chaotic two or three body interactions and so are of interest to astronomers who want to know the formation history of binary black holes.
The problem is black holes are, well, black. We usually can't really "see" them (optically) unless we use the surrounding matter to infer their properties. The good news is, binary black holes create ripples in the fabric of space-time known as "gravitational-waves". We can detect these gravitational-waves with the highly sensitive LIGO-Virgo-KAGRA laser interferometers here on Earth [1, 2, 3].
Each card below shows a pair of black holes spiraling together and merging. In the background is a mesh which warps due to the presence of the black holes and gravitational waves. The waveform trace underneath is the signal that is produced which eventually gets detected on Earth. So yes, each of these are real binary black hole orbits humanity has detected!
Since there is noise in the gravitational wave detectors, we can't know the exact parameters. Hover any event name to see how confident we are about the masses, spins, and eccentricity of each system.
Finally, from the astrophysics literature we have estimate on how common eccentric systems are. However, these are subject to modelling assumptions and have a range of values. Use the prompts below to explore how our assumptions about how common eccentric systems are changes what we infer. This data and models were produced in a series of papers, see Refs. [4, 5, 6, 7]. This webpage was made with the assistance of Claude Opus 4.6.
Displayed below is a subset of LIGO–Virgo–KAGRA (LVK) binary black holes (BHs) from O1, O2, O3 and O4a re-analyzed with an waveform model which includes the effect of orbital eccentricity [1, 2, 3, 4].
We plot the BH dynamics and h+ waveform by assuming the maximum-a-posteriori (MAP) point from the posterior. The dynamics are calculated using the effective-one-body (EOB) framework [5]. We are assuming spins aligned (or anti-aligned) with the orbital angular momentum. This is displayed by a spinning white tick on the border of the black hole. The size of the black holes is determined by the mass assuming a Schwarzschild radius. When the black holes merge, we compute the remnant final spin and mass using numerical relativity fits [6, 7, 8, 9]. Hover any event name to see the posterior distribution in mass, spin, and eccentricity.
We are measuring the eccentricity and starting the EOB evolution at an detector frame frequency of 10Hz. However, the displayed orbit and waveform is from when the GW enters the LVK band (20 Hz).
The background mesh represents the spacetime as seen by an
observer co-moving with the center of mass. Each black
hole deforms the mesh—in the near zone—using an approximate Kerr solution
(a visualization shortcut for the strong-field region, we cannot do numerical relativity with
javascript)!
Outside the orbital radius—the wave zone—the mesh
is tidally displaced via the geodesic deviation equation in the
trasvere-traceless (TT) gauge:
δx = ½(h+ x + h× y),
δy = ½(−h+ y + h× x),
evaluated at the retarded time
tret = t − (r − rorbit)/c
with a 1/r radiative falloff.
Prior re-weighting. The prior on eccentricity stongly affects
the recovered eccentricity. We can set a
a sharp two-bin population prior at
e = 0.05 (0.05 is effectively quasicircular at O1-O4 LVK sensitivity [10]).
Pick the fraction
f of events you expect to be eccentric; the per-event
posterior weights are multiplied by
(1−f) / 0.1 for e < 0.05
samples and f / 0.9 for e > 0.05
(the original pe prior was a uniform
prior on e ∈ [0, 0.5]). The
displayed orbit then becomes the MAP sample under the new prior. The more
robust way to do this is also to let the events inform the recovered
population rates/prior (see) Ref. [1].
I believe every eccentricity is equally likely.
I believe of events are eccentric.
Show
Sept 2015 – Jan 2016
Loading posteriors…
Nov 2016 – Aug 2017
Loading posteriors…
Apr 2019 – Mar 2020
Loading posteriors…
May 2023 – Jan 2024
Loading posteriors…